Probably Football

Matches

Serie B (Italy)

Tuesday 27 October, 09:00

Final score

Virtus Entella1-1Avellino

The model gave this result 33%. Its most likely result was a Virtus Entella win (36%).

Virtus Entella vs Avellino

  1. Virtus Entella36%
  2. Draw33%
  3. Avellino31%

1.23 expected goals for Virtus Entella

1.14 expected goals for Avellino

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 36%. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%. And about 9.2 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals69%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals44%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals21%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals9%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.2 expected

5.5 for Virtus Entella and 3.7 for Avellino

  1. Over 8.5 corners54%
  2. Over 9.5 corners43%
  3. Over 10.5 corners33%

Cards

3.9 expected

1.6 for Virtus Entella and 2.3 for Avellino

  1. Over 3.5 cards54%
  2. Over 4.5 cards34%
  3. Over 5.5 cards19%

Shots

28.8 expected

18.1 for Virtus Entella and 10.7 for Avellino

  1. Over 20.5 shots87%
  2. Over 22.5 shots79%
  3. Over 24.5 shots69%

Fouls

23.7 expected

12.7 for Virtus Entella and 11.0 for Avellino

  1. Over 20.5 fouls72%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls57%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls42%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.