Ascoli vs Sampdoria

Ascoli53%
Draw31%
Sampdoria16%

1.54 expected goals for Ascoli

0.72 expected goals for Sampdoria

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Ascoli has the edge (53%), but not by much: a draw is at 31% and a Sampdoria win at 16%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 9.7 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
Over 1.5 goals67%It happened
Over 2.5 goals44%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals19%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen

Both teams score51%
Ascoli or draw84%
Draw or Sampdoria47%
No draw69%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.7 expected

5.3 for Ascoli and 4.4 for Sampdoria

Over 8.5 corners59%
Over 9.5 corners48%
Over 10.5 corners38%

Cards

4.2 expected

1.8 for Ascoli and 2.5 for Sampdoria

Over 3.5 cards61%
Over 4.5 cards42%
Over 5.5 cards25%

Shots

25.4 expected

14.6 for Ascoli and 10.8 for Sampdoria

Over 20.5 shots75%
Over 22.5 shots64%
Over 24.5 shots52%

Fouls

24.9 expected

11.2 for Ascoli and 13.8 for Sampdoria

Over 20.5 fouls79%
Over 22.5 fouls66%
Over 24.5 fouls51%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.