Probably Football

Matches

Serie B (Italy)

Saturday 24 October, 08:00

Final score

Cremonese0-1Juve Stabia

The model gave this result 24%. Its most likely result was a Cremonese win (43%).

Cremonese vs Juve Stabia

  1. Cremonese43%
  2. Draw33%
  3. Juve Stabia24%

1.34 expected goals for Cremonese

0.94 expected goals for Juve Stabia

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Cremonese has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 33% and a Juve Stabia win at 24%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 9.4 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals67%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals44%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals20%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.4 expected

4.9 for Cremonese and 4.5 for Juve Stabia

  1. Over 8.5 corners55%
  2. Over 9.5 corners45%
  3. Over 10.5 corners35%

Cards

3.8 expected

1.8 for Cremonese and 2.0 for Juve Stabia

  1. Over 3.5 cards53%
  2. Over 4.5 cards34%
  3. Over 5.5 cards19%

Shots

25.5 expected

13.7 for Cremonese and 11.8 for Juve Stabia

  1. Over 20.5 shots76%
  2. Over 22.5 shots65%
  3. Over 24.5 shots53%

Fouls

24.3 expected

13.1 for Cremonese and 11.2 for Juve Stabia

  1. Over 20.5 fouls75%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls62%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls47%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.