Probably Football

Matches

Segunda División (Chile)

Sunday 25 October, 16:00

Final score

Municipal Salamanca2-2Santiago City

The model gave this result 26%. Its most likely result was a Municipal Salamanca win (45%).

Municipal Salamanca vs Santiago City

  1. Municipal Salamanca45%
  2. Draw26%
  3. Santiago City29%

1.52 expected goals for Municipal Salamanca

1.09 expected goals for Santiago City

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Municipal Salamanca has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a Santiago City win at 29%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 47% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals74%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals47%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals27%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.