Probably Football

Matches

Segunda División (Chile)

Sunday 25 October, 16:00

Final score

Colina1-1Santiago Morning

The model gave this result 30%. Its most likely result was a Colina win (39%).

Colina vs Santiago Morning

  1. Colina39%
  2. Draw30%
  3. Santiago Morning31%

1.03 expected goals for Colina

0.84 expected goals for Santiago Morning

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Colina has the edge (39%), but not by much: a draw is at 30% and a Santiago Morning win at 31%. It expects 1.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 40% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals84%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals56%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals40%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals12%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals4%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.