Sunday 25 October, 08:00
Final score
RB Leipzig W1-5Bayern Munich W
The model's most likely result happened: a Bayern Munich W win (87%).
RB Leipzig W vs Bayern Munich W
- RB Leipzig W3%
- Draw10%
- Bayern Munich W87%
0.57 expected goals for RB Leipzig W
2.96 expected goals for Bayern Munich W
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Bayern Munich W the clear favourite: 87% to win. It expects 3.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 67% chance, and both teams scoring, 45%. And about 9.8 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals87%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals67%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals47%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals28%It happened
- Both teams score45%
- RB Leipzig W or draw13%
- Draw or Bayern Munich W97%
- No draw90%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.8 expected
5.1 for RB Leipzig W and 4.7 for Bayern Munich W
- Over 8.5 corners60%
- Over 9.5 corners50%
- Over 10.5 corners40%
Cards
4.0 expected
2.0 for RB Leipzig W and 2.0 for Bayern Munich W
- Over 3.5 cards57%
- Over 4.5 cards38%
- Over 5.5 cards22%
Shots
27.9 expected
12.4 for RB Leipzig W and 15.5 for Bayern Munich W
- Over 20.5 shots84%
- Over 22.5 shots76%
- Over 24.5 shots66%
Fouls
21.4 expected
11.2 for RB Leipzig W and 10.1 for Bayern Munich W
- Over 20.5 fouls55%
- Over 22.5 fouls39%
- Over 24.5 fouls26%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.