Probably Football

Matches

Frauen Bundesliga (Germany)

Sunday 25 October, 08:00

Final score

Hamburger SV W4-4Union Berlin W

The model gave this result 21%. Its most likely result was a Union Berlin W win (47%).

Hamburger SV W vs Union Berlin W

  1. Hamburger SV W32%
  2. Draw21%
  3. Union Berlin W47%

1.35 expected goals for Hamburger SV W

1.64 expected goals for Union Berlin W

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Union Berlin W has the edge (47%), but not by much: a draw is at 21% and a Hamburger SV W win at 32%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 61% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 11.2 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals80%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals61%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals35%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals18%It happened

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

11.2 expected

5.5 for Hamburger SV W and 5.7 for Union Berlin W

  1. Over 8.5 corners72%
  2. Over 9.5 corners63%
  3. Over 10.5 corners53%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.7 for Hamburger SV W and 2.4 for Union Berlin W

  1. Over 3.5 cards58%
  2. Over 4.5 cards39%
  3. Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

33.4 expected

16.5 for Hamburger SV W and 16.9 for Union Berlin W

  1. Over 20.5 shots95%
  2. Over 22.5 shots91%
  3. Over 24.5 shots86%

Fouls

22.5 expected

10.6 for Hamburger SV W and 12.0 for Union Berlin W

  1. Over 20.5 fouls64%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls49%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls34%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.