Probably Football

Matches

Frauen Bundesliga (Germany)

Sunday 25 October, 08:00

Final score

Nürnberg W2-0Bayer Leverkusen W

The model gave this result 9%. Its most likely result was a Bayer Leverkusen W win (77%).

Nürnberg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W

  1. Nürnberg W9%
  2. Draw14%
  3. Bayer Leverkusen W77%

1.03 expected goals for Nürnberg W

2.80 expected goals for Bayer Leverkusen W

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Bayer Leverkusen W the clear favourite: 77% to win. It expects 3.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 70% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 9.9 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals90%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals70%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals53%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals34%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.9 expected

5.3 for Nürnberg W and 4.6 for Bayer Leverkusen W

  1. Over 8.5 corners61%
  2. Over 9.5 corners50%
  3. Over 10.5 corners40%

Cards

4.2 expected

2.2 for Nürnberg W and 2.0 for Bayer Leverkusen W

  1. Over 3.5 cards59%
  2. Over 4.5 cards40%
  3. Over 5.5 cards24%

Shots

28.0 expected

14.6 for Nürnberg W and 13.3 for Bayer Leverkusen W

  1. Over 20.5 shots85%
  2. Over 22.5 shots76%
  3. Over 24.5 shots66%

Fouls

25.5 expected

13.4 for Nürnberg W and 12.1 for Bayer Leverkusen W

  1. Over 20.5 fouls81%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls69%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls55%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.