Probably Football

Matches

3. Liga (Germany)

Saturday 24 October, 07:00

Final score

SV Wehen7-1SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

The model's most likely result happened: a SV Wehen win (43%).

SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

  1. SV Wehen43%
  2. Draw25%
  3. SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach32%

1.50 expected goals for SV Wehen

1.24 expected goals for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

SV Wehen has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win at 32%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 10.8 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals76%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals54%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals29%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals14%It happened

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.8 expected

5.9 for SV Wehen and 4.9 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

  1. Over 8.5 corners69%
  2. Over 9.5 corners59%
  3. Over 10.5 corners49%

Cards

4.3 expected

2.0 for SV Wehen and 2.4 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

  1. Over 3.5 cards63%
  2. Over 4.5 cards44%
  3. Over 5.5 cards27%

Shots

25.8 expected

15.2 for SV Wehen and 10.6 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

  1. Over 20.5 shots77%
  2. Over 22.5 shots66%
  3. Over 24.5 shots55%

Fouls

24.1 expected

11.1 for SV Wehen and 13.1 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

  1. Over 20.5 fouls74%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls60%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls45%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.