Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln

Preußen Münster38%
Draw25%
Fortuna Köln37%

1.30 expected goals for Preußen Münster

1.34 expected goals for Fortuna Köln

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 38%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 9.6 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
Over 1.5 goals75%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals53%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals27%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals13%It did not happen

Both teams score57%
Preußen Münster or draw63%
Draw or Fortuna Köln62%
No draw75%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.6 expected

5.2 for Preußen Münster and 4.4 for Fortuna Köln

Over 8.5 corners58%
Over 9.5 corners47%
Over 10.5 corners37%

Cards

4.2 expected

1.9 for Preußen Münster and 2.3 for Fortuna Köln

Over 3.5 cards60%
Over 4.5 cards41%
Over 5.5 cards24%

Shots

23.0 expected

13.5 for Preußen Münster and 9.5 for Fortuna Köln

Over 20.5 shots63%
Over 22.5 shots50%
Over 24.5 shots38%

Fouls

24.1 expected

11.2 for Preußen Münster and 12.9 for Fortuna Köln

Over 20.5 fouls74%
Over 22.5 fouls60%
Over 24.5 fouls46%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.