Probably Football

Matches

3. Liga (Germany)

Saturday 24 October, 07:00

Final score

Hansa Rostock1-1Fortuna Düsseldorf

The model gave this result 25%. Its most likely result was a Hansa Rostock win (41%).

Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

  1. Hansa Rostock41%
  2. Draw25%
  3. Fortuna Düsseldorf34%

1.54 expected goals for Hansa Rostock

1.36 expected goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 41%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance, and both teams scoring, 58%. And about 9.8 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals55%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals33%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals17%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.8 expected

5.8 for Hansa Rostock and 4.0 for Fortuna Düsseldorf

  1. Over 8.5 corners60%
  2. Over 9.5 corners49%
  3. Over 10.5 corners39%

Cards

4.6 expected

2.3 for Hansa Rostock and 2.3 for Fortuna Düsseldorf

  1. Over 3.5 cards67%
  2. Over 4.5 cards48%
  3. Over 5.5 cards31%

Shots

23.5 expected

12.2 for Hansa Rostock and 11.3 for Fortuna Düsseldorf

  1. Over 20.5 shots66%
  2. Over 22.5 shots53%
  3. Over 24.5 shots41%

Fouls

20.6 expected

9.0 for Hansa Rostock and 11.6 for Fortuna Düsseldorf

  1. Over 20.5 fouls49%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls33%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls21%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.