Probably Football

Matches

Tweede Divisie (Netherlands)

Saturday 24 October, 08:30

Final score

Quick Boys3-1Hoek

The model's most likely result happened: a Quick Boys win (61%).

Quick Boys vs Hoek

  1. Quick Boys61%
  2. Draw20%
  3. Hoek19%

2.03 expected goals for Quick Boys

0.84 expected goals for Hoek

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Quick Boys the clear favourite: 61% to win. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals58%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals32%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals16%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.