Probably Football

Matches

Tweede Divisie (Netherlands)

Saturday 24 October, 08:30

Final score

Kloetinge1-3Katwijk

The model gave this result 36%. Its most likely result was a Kloetinge win (45%).

Kloetinge vs Katwijk

  1. Kloetinge45%
  2. Draw19%
  3. Katwijk36%

2.29 expected goals for Kloetinge

2.03 expected goals for Katwijk

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Kloetinge has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 19% and a Katwijk win at 36%. It expects 4.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 73% chance, and both teams scoring, 68%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals93%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals73%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals63%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals43%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.