Probably Football

Matches

Tweede Divisie (Netherlands)

Saturday 24 October, 08:30

Final score

GVVV Veenendaal2-0Koninklijke HFC

The model's most likely result happened: a GVVV Veenendaal win (47%).

GVVV Veenendaal vs Koninklijke HFC

  1. GVVV Veenendaal47%
  2. Draw21%
  3. Koninklijke HFC32%

1.86 expected goals for GVVV Veenendaal

1.45 expected goals for Koninklijke HFC

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

GVVV Veenendaal has the edge (47%), but not by much: a draw is at 21% and a Koninklijke HFC win at 32%. It expects 3.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 63% chance, and both teams scoring, 60%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals85%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals63%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals42%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals24%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.