Probably Football

Matches

First League (Russia)

Saturday 24 October, 10:00

Final score

Tekstilshchik1-3FC Sochi

The model's most likely result happened: a FC Sochi win (58%).

Tekstilshchik vs FC Sochi

  1. Tekstilshchik18%
  2. Draw24%
  3. FC Sochi58%

0.82 expected goals for Tekstilshchik

1.73 expected goals for FC Sochi

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes FC Sochi the clear favourite: 58% to win. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance, and both teams scoring, 46%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals73%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals44%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals25%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.