Saturday 24 October, 10:00
Final score
Shinnik Yaroslavl2-1Spartak Kostroma
The model's most likely result happened: a Shinnik Yaroslavl win (38%).
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Spartak Kostroma
- Shinnik Yaroslavl38%
- Draw31%
- Spartak Kostroma31%
1.05 expected goals for Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.97 expected goals for Spartak Kostroma
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 38%. It expects 2.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 39% chance, and both teams scoring, 44%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals86%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals60%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals39%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals15%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals5%It did not happen
- Both teams score44%
- Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw69%
- Draw or Spartak Kostroma62%
- No draw69%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.