Saturday 24 October, 10:00

The match has started. The result will appear here once we have it (it can take a few hours).

Chelyabinsk vs Ural

Chelyabinsk24%
Draw26%
Ural50%

0.99 expected goals for Chelyabinsk

1.64 expected goals for Ural

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Ural has the edge (50%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a Chelyabinsk win at 24%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance, and both teams scoring, 47%.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Over 4.5 goals13%

Both teams score47%
Chelyabinsk or draw50%
Draw or Ural76%
No draw74%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.