Probably Football

Matches

Segunda Liga (Portugal)

Sunday 25 October, 11:00

Final score

Sporting CP B3-0Portimonense

The model's most likely result happened: a Sporting CP B win (40%).

Sporting CP B vs Portimonense

  1. Sporting CP B40%
  2. Draw28%
  3. Portimonense32%

1.21 expected goals for Sporting CP B

0.96 expected goals for Portimonense

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Sporting CP B has the edge (40%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a Portimonense win at 32%. It expects 2.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals88%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals64%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals46%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals17%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals7%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.