Sunday 25 October, 11:00
Final score
Chaves2-1Vizela
The model gave this result 35%. Its most likely result was a Vizela win (37%).
Chaves vs Vizela
- Chaves35%
- Draw28%
- Vizela37%
1.17 expected goals for Chaves
1.17 expected goals for Vizela
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 37%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 47% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals68%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals47%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals21%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals9%It did not happen
- Both teams score52%
- Chaves or draw63%
- Draw or Vizela65%
- No draw73%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.