Sunday 25 October, 11:00
Final score
AVS2-1Tondela
The model gave this result 35%. Its most likely result was a Tondela win (37%).
AVS vs Tondela
- AVS35%
- Draw28%
- Tondela37%
1.07 expected goals for AVS
1.03 expected goals for Tondela
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 37%. It expects 2.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 45% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals87%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals63%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals45%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals16%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals6%It did not happen
- Both teams score51%
- AVS or draw63%
- Draw or Tondela64%
- No draw72%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.