Probably Football

Matches

2. Bundesliga (Germany)

Saturday 24 October, 06:30

Final score

1. FC Nürnberg0-11. FC Kaiserslautern

The model gave this result 29%. Its most likely result was a 1. FC Nürnberg win (43%).

1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern

  1. 1. FC Nürnberg43%
  2. Draw28%
  3. 1. FC Kaiserslautern29%

1.43 expected goals for 1. FC Nürnberg

1.10 expected goals for 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

1. FC Nürnberg has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a 1. FC Kaiserslautern win at 29%. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%. And about 10.4 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals72%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals56%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals25%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals11%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.4 expected

5.4 for 1. FC Nürnberg and 4.9 for 1. FC Kaiserslautern

  1. Over 8.5 corners65%
  2. Over 9.5 corners55%
  3. Over 10.5 corners45%

Cards

4.5 expected

2.1 for 1. FC Nürnberg and 2.4 for 1. FC Kaiserslautern

  1. Over 3.5 cards65%
  2. Over 4.5 cards46%
  3. Over 5.5 cards29%

Shots

31.0 expected

17.5 for 1. FC Nürnberg and 13.4 for 1. FC Kaiserslautern

  1. Over 20.5 shots92%
  2. Over 22.5 shots86%
  3. Over 24.5 shots78%

Fouls

23.8 expected

10.5 for 1. FC Nürnberg and 13.3 for 1. FC Kaiserslautern

  1. Over 20.5 fouls73%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls58%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls43%

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.