Probably Football

Matches

2. Bundesliga (Germany)

Saturday 24 October, 06:30

Final score

1. FC Heidenheim1-1Energie Cottbus

The model gave this result 20%. Its most likely result was a 1. FC Heidenheim win (57%).

1. FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus

  1. 1. FC Heidenheim57%
  2. Draw20%
  3. Energie Cottbus23%

2.65 expected goals for 1. FC Heidenheim

1.51 expected goals for Energie Cottbus

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes 1. FC Heidenheim the clear favourite: 57% to win. It expects 4.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 65% chance, and both teams scoring, 61%. And about 11.5 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals92%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals65%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals60%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals40%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

11.5 expected

5.9 for 1. FC Heidenheim and 5.6 for Energie Cottbus

  1. Over 8.5 corners74%
  2. Over 9.5 corners65%
  3. Over 10.5 corners56%

Cards

4.3 expected

1.9 for 1. FC Heidenheim and 2.3 for Energie Cottbus

  1. Over 3.5 cards61%
  2. Over 4.5 cards42%
  3. Over 5.5 cards26%

Shots

34.4 expected

20.5 for 1. FC Heidenheim and 13.8 for Energie Cottbus

  1. Over 20.5 shots96%
  2. Over 22.5 shots92%
  3. Over 24.5 shots87%

Fouls

22.8 expected

11.5 for 1. FC Heidenheim and 11.3 for Energie Cottbus

  1. Over 20.5 fouls65%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls50%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls35%

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.