Probably Football

Matches

2. Division (Denmark)

Sunday 25 October, 08:00

Final score

Nykobing FC3-0Thisted FC

The model's most likely result happened: a Nykobing FC win (48%).

Nykobing FC vs Thisted FC

  1. Nykobing FC48%
  2. Draw23%
  3. Thisted FC29%

2.12 expected goals for Nykobing FC

1.44 expected goals for Thisted FC

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Nykobing FC has the edge (48%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a Thisted FC win at 29%. It expects 3.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 60% chance, and both teams scoring, 58%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals87%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals60%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals48%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals28%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.