Probably Football

Matches

2. Division (Denmark)

Friday 23 October, 12:00

Final score

Roskilde4-0Fremad Amager

The model's most likely result happened: a Roskilde win (55%).

Roskilde vs Fremad Amager

  1. Roskilde55%
  2. Draw24%
  3. Fremad Amager21%

1.89 expected goals for Roskilde

0.89 expected goals for Fremad Amager

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Roskilde the clear favourite: 55% to win. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals77%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals50%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals30%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals15%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.