Probably Football

Matches

Primeira Liga (Portugal)

Sunday 25 October, 11:00

Final score

Sporting CP1-2Academico Viseu

The model gave this result 8%. Its most likely result was a Sporting CP win (75%).

Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu

  1. Sporting CP75%
  2. Draw17%
  3. Academico Viseu8%

2.32 expected goals for Sporting CP

0.79 expected goals for Academico Viseu

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Sporting CP the clear favourite: 75% to win. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%. And about 8.6 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals82%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals55%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals38%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals20%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

8.6 expected

4.9 for Sporting CP and 3.7 for Academico Viseu

  1. Over 8.5 corners48%
  2. Over 9.5 corners37%
  3. Over 10.5 corners28%

Cards

4.4 expected

1.7 for Sporting CP and 2.6 for Academico Viseu

  1. Over 3.5 cards63%
  2. Over 4.5 cards44%
  3. Over 5.5 cards27%

Shots

26.1 expected

16.1 for Sporting CP and 10.1 for Academico Viseu

  1. Over 20.5 shots78%
  2. Over 22.5 shots68%
  3. Over 24.5 shots56%

Fouls

24.4 expected

11.3 for Sporting CP and 13.1 for Academico Viseu

  1. Over 20.5 fouls76%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls62%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls47%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.