GIL Vicente vs FC Porto

GIL Vicente14%
Draw27%
FC Porto59%

0.69 expected goals for GIL Vicente

1.52 expected goals for FC Porto

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes FC Porto the clear favourite: 59% to win. It expects 2.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance, and both teams scoring, 47%. And about 9.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
Over 1.5 goals66%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals44%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals18%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals7%It did not happen

Both teams score47%
GIL Vicente or draw41%
Draw or FC Porto85%
No draw73%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.2 expected

4.8 for GIL Vicente and 4.5 for FC Porto

Over 8.5 corners54%
Over 9.5 corners44%
Over 10.5 corners34%

Cards

4.4 expected

2.2 for GIL Vicente and 2.2 for FC Porto

Over 3.5 cards65%
Over 4.5 cards45%
Over 5.5 cards28%

Shots

26.4 expected

15.1 for GIL Vicente and 11.3 for FC Porto

Over 20.5 shots79%
Over 22.5 shots69%
Over 24.5 shots58%

Fouls

25.9 expected

13.7 for GIL Vicente and 12.3 for FC Porto

Over 20.5 fouls83%
Over 22.5 fouls72%
Over 24.5 fouls59%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.