Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt

Borussia Dortmund60%
Draw22%
Eintracht Frankfurt18%

2.43 expected goals for Borussia Dortmund

1.22 expected goals for Eintracht Frankfurt

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Borussia Dortmund the clear favourite: 60% to win. It expects 3.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 66% chance, and both teams scoring, 62%. And about 9.8 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
Over 1.5 goals88%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals66%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals50%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals30%It did not happen

Both teams score62%
Borussia Dortmund or draw82%
Draw or Eintracht Frankfurt40%
No draw78%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.8 expected

5.6 for Borussia Dortmund and 4.2 for Eintracht Frankfurt

Over 8.5 corners60%
Over 9.5 corners50%
Over 10.5 corners40%

Cards

4.1 expected

2.0 for Borussia Dortmund and 2.1 for Eintracht Frankfurt

Over 3.5 cards59%
Over 4.5 cards39%
Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

28.5 expected

17.8 for Borussia Dortmund and 10.8 for Eintracht Frankfurt

Over 20.5 shots86%
Over 22.5 shots78%
Over 24.5 shots68%

Fouls

22.1 expected

11.5 for Borussia Dortmund and 10.6 for Eintracht Frankfurt

Over 20.5 fouls61%
Over 22.5 fouls45%
Over 24.5 fouls31%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.