Valenciennes vs Orleans
- Valenciennes35%
- Draw31%
- Orleans34%
1.19 expected goals for Valenciennes
1.23 expected goals for Orleans
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
A very open match: no result goes above 35%. The biggest factor in these numbers is the Valenciennes attack, which scores 12% fewer goals than an average team. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 45% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Valenciennes
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Valenciennes attack−12%
- Orleans defence−11%
Expected goals1.19
Orleans
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Orleans attack−6%
- Valenciennes defence−4%
Expected goals1.23
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals90%
- Over 1.5 goals70%
- Over 2.5 goals45%
- Over 3.5 goals22%
- Over 4.5 goals10%
- Both teams score52%
- Valenciennes or draw66%
- Draw or Orleans64%
- No draw69%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.