Athletic Club vs Getafe

Athletic Club43%
Draw32%
Getafe25%

1.08 expected goals for Athletic Club

0.83 expected goals for Getafe

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Athletic Club has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 32% and a Getafe win at 25%. It expects 1.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 38% chance, and both teams scoring, 46%. And about 10.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals85%It happened
Over 1.5 goals58%It happened
Over 2.5 goals38%It happened
Over 3.5 goals13%It happened
Over 4.5 goals5%It did not happen

Both teams score46%
Athletic Club or draw75%
Draw or Getafe57%
No draw68%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.2 expected

6.2 for Athletic Club and 4.0 for Getafe

Over 8.5 corners63%
Over 9.5 corners53%
Over 10.5 corners43%

Cards

4.5 expected

1.9 for Athletic Club and 2.7 for Getafe

Over 3.5 cards67%
Over 4.5 cards48%
Over 5.5 cards31%

Shots

28.0 expected

19.1 for Athletic Club and 8.9 for Getafe

Over 20.5 shots84%
Over 22.5 shots75%
Over 24.5 shots64%

Fouls

25.1 expected

12.2 for Athletic Club and 12.9 for Getafe

Over 20.5 fouls79%
Over 22.5 fouls67%
Over 24.5 fouls52%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.