Probably Football

Matches

Segunda División (Spain)

Sunday 25 October, 11:00

Final score

Cordoba2-0Eibar

The model gave this result 26%. Its most likely result was a Eibar win (50%).

Cordoba vs Eibar

  1. Cordoba26%
  2. Draw24%
  3. Eibar50%

1.14 expected goals for Cordoba

2.13 expected goals for Eibar

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Eibar has the edge (50%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a Cordoba win at 26%. It expects 3.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%. And about 9.5 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals84%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals50%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals41%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals23%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.5 expected

5.7 for Cordoba and 3.8 for Eibar

  1. Over 8.5 corners57%
  2. Over 9.5 corners46%
  3. Over 10.5 corners36%

Cards

5.8 expected

3.2 for Cordoba and 2.6 for Eibar

  1. Over 3.5 cards83%
  2. Over 4.5 cards69%
  3. Over 5.5 cards52%

Shots

28.5 expected

17.2 for Cordoba and 11.3 for Eibar

  1. Over 20.5 shots86%
  2. Over 22.5 shots78%
  3. Over 24.5 shots68%

Fouls

26.3 expected

13.8 for Cordoba and 12.5 for Eibar

  1. Over 20.5 fouls85%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls74%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls61%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.