Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC

Cadiz43%
Draw28%
AD Ceuta FC29%

1.42 expected goals for Cadiz

1.28 expected goals for AD Ceuta FC

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Cadiz has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a AD Ceuta FC win at 29%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 45% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 9.3 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
Over 1.5 goals76%It happened
Over 2.5 goals45%It happened
Over 3.5 goals29%It happened
Over 4.5 goals14%It did not happen

Both teams score52%
Cadiz or draw71%
Draw or AD Ceuta FC57%
No draw72%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.3 expected

4.8 for Cadiz and 4.5 for AD Ceuta FC

Over 8.5 corners55%
Over 9.5 corners44%
Over 10.5 corners34%

Cards

4.6 expected

2.4 for Cadiz and 2.2 for AD Ceuta FC

Over 3.5 cards68%
Over 4.5 cards49%
Over 5.5 cards32%

Shots

25.1 expected

12.5 for Cadiz and 12.6 for AD Ceuta FC

Over 20.5 shots74%
Over 22.5 shots63%
Over 24.5 shots51%

Fouls

27.6 expected

14.8 for Cadiz and 12.8 for AD Ceuta FC

Over 20.5 fouls89%
Over 22.5 fouls81%
Over 24.5 fouls69%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.