Sunday 25 October, 11:00
Final score
Albacete2-0Eldense
The model's most likely result happened: a Albacete win (40%).
Albacete vs Eldense
- Albacete40%
- Draw27%
- Eldense33%
1.37 expected goals for Albacete
1.42 expected goals for Eldense
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 40%. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 9.4 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals77%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals46%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals31%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals15%It did not happen
- Both teams score52%
- Albacete or draw67%
- Draw or Eldense60%
- No draw73%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.4 expected
5.2 for Albacete and 4.3 for Eldense
- Over 8.5 corners56%
- Over 9.5 corners46%
- Over 10.5 corners36%
Cards
4.5 expected
2.2 for Albacete and 2.3 for Eldense
- Over 3.5 cards66%
- Over 4.5 cards47%
- Over 5.5 cards30%
Shots
25.9 expected
12.3 for Albacete and 13.6 for Eldense
- Over 20.5 shots78%
- Over 22.5 shots67%
- Over 24.5 shots55%
Fouls
26.8 expected
13.6 for Albacete and 13.2 for Eldense
- Over 20.5 fouls87%
- Over 22.5 fouls77%
- Over 24.5 fouls64%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.