Probably Football

Matches

League One (England)

Saturday 24 October, 09:00

Final score

Oxford United0-0Bradford

The model gave this result 27%. Its most likely result was a Oxford United win (37%).

Oxford United vs Bradford

  1. Oxford United37%
  2. Draw27%
  3. Bradford36%

0.89 expected goals for Oxford United

0.91 expected goals for Bradford

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 37%. It expects 1.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 42% chance, and both teams scoring, 45%. And about 10.9 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals83%It did not happen
  2. Over 1.5 goals55%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals42%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals11%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals4%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.9 expected

5.5 for Oxford United and 5.5 for Bradford

  1. Over 8.5 corners70%
  2. Over 9.5 corners60%
  3. Over 10.5 corners51%

Cards

4.5 expected

2.0 for Oxford United and 2.5 for Bradford

  1. Over 3.5 cards66%
  2. Over 4.5 cards47%
  3. Over 5.5 cards30%

Shots

23.3 expected

12.3 for Oxford United and 11.0 for Bradford

  1. Over 20.5 shots65%
  2. Over 22.5 shots52%
  3. Over 24.5 shots40%

Fouls

27.3 expected

12.7 for Oxford United and 14.6 for Bradford

  1. Over 20.5 fouls89%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls80%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls68%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.