Luton vs Leicester

Luton51%
Draw23%
Leicester26%

2.06 expected goals for Luton

1.39 expected goals for Leicester

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Luton has the edge (51%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a Leicester win at 26%. It expects 3.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%. And about 11.0 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
Over 1.5 goals86%It happened
Over 2.5 goals54%It happened
Over 3.5 goals45%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals26%It did not happen

Both teams score56%
Luton or draw74%
Draw or Leicester49%
No draw77%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

11.0 expected

6.5 for Luton and 4.5 for Leicester

Over 8.5 corners70%
Over 9.5 corners61%
Over 10.5 corners51%

Cards

4.3 expected

1.9 for Luton and 2.5 for Leicester

Over 3.5 cards62%
Over 4.5 cards43%
Over 5.5 cards26%

Shots

27.7 expected

16.5 for Luton and 11.2 for Leicester

Over 20.5 shots84%
Over 22.5 shots75%
Over 24.5 shots64%

Fouls

24.6 expected

12.7 for Luton and 11.9 for Leicester

Over 20.5 fouls77%
Over 22.5 fouls64%
Over 24.5 fouls49%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.