Probably Football

Matches

League One (England)

Saturday 24 October, 09:00

Final score

Huddersfield2-1Wigan

The model's most likely result happened: a Huddersfield win (60%).

Huddersfield vs Wigan

  1. Huddersfield60%
  2. Draw23%
  3. Wigan17%

1.93 expected goals for Huddersfield

0.80 expected goals for Wigan

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Huddersfield the clear favourite: 60% to win. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%. And about 10.6 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals76%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals50%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals29%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals14%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.6 expected

6.4 for Huddersfield and 4.2 for Wigan

  1. Over 8.5 corners67%
  2. Over 9.5 corners57%
  3. Over 10.5 corners47%

Cards

3.9 expected

1.7 for Huddersfield and 2.2 for Wigan

  1. Over 3.5 cards55%
  2. Over 4.5 cards36%
  3. Over 5.5 cards20%

Shots

25.9 expected

17.2 for Huddersfield and 8.7 for Wigan

  1. Over 20.5 shots77%
  2. Over 22.5 shots66%
  3. Over 24.5 shots54%

Fouls

22.4 expected

11.1 for Huddersfield and 11.4 for Wigan

  1. Over 20.5 fouls63%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls48%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls33%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.