York vs Port Vale

York45%
Draw29%
Port Vale26%

1.22 expected goals for York

0.80 expected goals for Port Vale

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

York has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 29% and a Port Vale win at 26%. It expects 2.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 39% chance, and both teams scoring, 46%. And about 9.7 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals86%It happened
Over 1.5 goals60%It happened
Over 2.5 goals39%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals15%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals5%It did not happen

Both teams score46%
York or draw74%
Draw or Port Vale55%
No draw71%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.7 expected

5.5 for York and 4.2 for Port Vale

Over 8.5 corners59%
Over 9.5 corners48%
Over 10.5 corners38%

Cards

4.0 expected

1.9 for York and 2.2 for Port Vale

Over 3.5 cards57%
Over 4.5 cards38%
Over 5.5 cards22%

Shots

24.4 expected

13.3 for York and 11.1 for Port Vale

Over 20.5 shots71%
Over 22.5 shots59%
Over 24.5 shots46%

Fouls

23.8 expected

10.1 for York and 13.7 for Port Vale

Over 20.5 fouls72%
Over 22.5 fouls58%
Over 24.5 fouls43%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.