Saturday 24 October, 09:00
Final score
Rochdale0-5Accrington ST
The model gave this result 34%. Its most likely result was a Rochdale win (39%).
Rochdale vs Accrington ST
- Rochdale39%
- Draw27%
- Accrington ST34%
1.46 expected goals for Rochdale
1.40 expected goals for Accrington ST
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 39%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%. And about 9.9 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals50%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals32%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals16%It happened
- Both teams score54%
- Rochdale or draw66%
- Draw or Accrington ST61%
- No draw73%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.9 expected
5.0 for Rochdale and 4.9 for Accrington ST
- Over 8.5 corners61%
- Over 9.5 corners51%
- Over 10.5 corners41%
Cards
3.6 expected
1.6 for Rochdale and 1.9 for Accrington ST
- Over 3.5 cards48%
- Over 4.5 cards29%
- Over 5.5 cards15%
Shots
24.4 expected
11.6 for Rochdale and 12.8 for Accrington ST
- Over 20.5 shots71%
- Over 22.5 shots59%
- Over 24.5 shots47%
Fouls
23.1 expected
11.1 for Rochdale and 11.9 for Accrington ST
- Over 20.5 fouls68%
- Over 22.5 fouls53%
- Over 24.5 fouls38%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.