Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town

Exeter City41%
Draw30%
Fleetwood Town29%

1.02 expected goals for Exeter City

0.82 expected goals for Fleetwood Town

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Exeter City has the edge (41%), but not by much: a draw is at 30% and a Fleetwood Town win at 29%. It expects 1.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 36% chance, and both teams scoring, 45%. And about 9.9 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals84%It happened
Over 1.5 goals56%It happened
Over 2.5 goals36%It happened
Over 3.5 goals12%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals4%It did not happen

Both teams score45%
Exeter City or draw71%
Draw or Fleetwood Town59%
No draw70%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.9 expected

5.4 for Exeter City and 4.5 for Fleetwood Town

Over 8.5 corners61%
Over 9.5 corners51%
Over 10.5 corners41%

Cards

4.2 expected

1.9 for Exeter City and 2.3 for Fleetwood Town

Over 3.5 cards61%
Over 4.5 cards41%
Over 5.5 cards25%

Shots

24.5 expected

11.6 for Exeter City and 12.9 for Fleetwood Town

Over 20.5 shots71%
Over 22.5 shots59%
Over 24.5 shots47%

Fouls

24.9 expected

12.2 for Exeter City and 12.8 for Fleetwood Town

Over 20.5 fouls79%
Over 22.5 fouls66%
Over 24.5 fouls51%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.