Chesterfield vs Crewe

Chesterfield41%
Draw27%
Crewe32%

1.45 expected goals for Chesterfield

1.28 expected goals for Crewe

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Chesterfield has the edge (41%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a Crewe win at 32%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%. And about 10.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
Over 1.5 goals76%It happened
Over 2.5 goals49%It happened
Over 3.5 goals29%It happened
Over 4.5 goals14%It happened

Both teams score53%
Chesterfield or draw68%
Draw or Crewe59%
No draw73%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.2 expected

6.9 for Chesterfield and 3.3 for Crewe

Over 8.5 corners64%
Over 9.5 corners54%
Over 10.5 corners44%

Cards

4.5 expected

2.0 for Chesterfield and 2.5 for Crewe

Over 3.5 cards66%
Over 4.5 cards47%
Over 5.5 cards29%

Shots

27.2 expected

18.3 for Chesterfield and 8.8 for Crewe

Over 20.5 shots81%
Over 22.5 shots72%
Over 24.5 shots61%

Fouls

22.8 expected

11.8 for Chesterfield and 11.0 for Crewe

Over 20.5 fouls66%
Over 22.5 fouls50%
Over 24.5 fouls35%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.