Probably Football

Matches

Cup (Russia)

Tuesday 27 October, 11:00

Final score

FC Krasnodar2-1Dynamo

The model gave this result 35%. Its most likely result was a Dynamo win (37%).

FC Krasnodar vs Dynamo

  1. FC Krasnodar35%
  2. Draw28%
  3. Dynamo37%

1.31 expected goals for FC Krasnodar

1.27 expected goals for Dynamo

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 37%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance, and both teams scoring, 48%. And about 8.8 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals73%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals46%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals26%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

8.8 expected

5.1 for FC Krasnodar and 3.7 for Dynamo

  1. Over 8.5 corners49%
  2. Over 9.5 corners39%
  3. Over 10.5 corners29%

Cards

4.3 expected

1.8 for FC Krasnodar and 2.5 for Dynamo

  1. Over 3.5 cards62%
  2. Over 4.5 cards43%
  3. Over 5.5 cards26%

Shots

25.5 expected

14.5 for FC Krasnodar and 11.0 for Dynamo

  1. Over 20.5 shots76%
  2. Over 22.5 shots65%
  3. Over 24.5 shots53%

Fouls

27.6 expected

13.7 for FC Krasnodar and 13.8 for Dynamo

  1. Over 20.5 fouls89%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls81%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls69%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.