West Ham vs Southampton

West Ham53%
Draw23%
Southampton24%

2.17 expected goals for West Ham

1.25 expected goals for Southampton

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

West Ham has the edge (53%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a Southampton win at 24%. It expects 3.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 9.4 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
Over 1.5 goals86%It happened
Over 2.5 goals55%It happened
Over 3.5 goals44%It happened
Over 4.5 goals26%It happened

Both teams score55%
West Ham or draw76%
Draw or Southampton47%
No draw77%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.4 expected

5.6 for West Ham and 3.9 for Southampton

Over 8.5 corners56%
Over 9.5 corners45%
Over 10.5 corners36%

Cards

3.9 expected

1.9 for West Ham and 2.0 for Southampton

Over 3.5 cards55%
Over 4.5 cards36%
Over 5.5 cards20%

Shots

27.1 expected

16.7 for West Ham and 10.5 for Southampton

Over 20.5 shots82%
Over 22.5 shots72%
Over 24.5 shots62%

Fouls

21.7 expected

11.7 for West Ham and 9.9 for Southampton

Over 20.5 fouls58%
Over 22.5 fouls42%
Over 24.5 fouls28%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.