Saturday 24 October, 09:00
Final score
Stoke City0-0Bristol City
The model gave this result 27%. Its most likely result was a Stoke City win (43%).
Stoke City vs Bristol City
- Stoke City43%
- Draw27%
- Bristol City30%
1.33 expected goals for Stoke City
1.06 expected goals for Bristol City
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
Stoke City has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a Bristol City win at 30%. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 45% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 10.3 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals90%It did not happen
- Over 1.5 goals70%It did not happen
- Over 2.5 goals45%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals22%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals9%It did not happen
- Both teams score50%
- Stoke City or draw70%
- Draw or Bristol City57%
- No draw73%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.3 expected
5.4 for Stoke City and 4.9 for Bristol City
- Over 8.5 corners65%
- Over 9.5 corners55%
- Over 10.5 corners45%
Cards
4.3 expected
2.1 for Stoke City and 2.2 for Bristol City
- Over 3.5 cards62%
- Over 4.5 cards43%
- Over 5.5 cards26%
Shots
27.0 expected
12.4 for Stoke City and 14.6 for Bristol City
- Over 20.5 shots82%
- Over 22.5 shots72%
- Over 24.5 shots61%
Fouls
22.8 expected
11.4 for Stoke City and 11.3 for Bristol City
- Over 20.5 fouls66%
- Over 22.5 fouls50%
- Over 24.5 fouls35%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.