Zenit vs Dinamo Makhachkala

Zenit73%
Draw18%
Dinamo Makhachkala9%

2.23 expected goals for Zenit

0.58 expected goals for Dinamo Makhachkala

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Zenit the clear favourite: 73% to win. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance, and both teams scoring, 47%. And about 10.5 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals77%It happened
Over 2.5 goals53%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals31%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals15%It did not happen

Both teams score47%
Zenit or draw91%
Draw or Dinamo Makhachkala27%
No draw82%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.5 expected

6.3 for Zenit and 4.1 for Dinamo Makhachkala

Over 8.5 corners66%
Over 9.5 corners56%
Over 10.5 corners46%

Cards

4.3 expected

1.9 for Zenit and 2.3 for Dinamo Makhachkala

Over 3.5 cards62%
Over 4.5 cards42%
Over 5.5 cards26%

Shots

25.8 expected

15.9 for Zenit and 9.9 for Dinamo Makhachkala

Over 20.5 shots77%
Over 22.5 shots66%
Over 24.5 shots54%

Fouls

25.7 expected

11.3 for Zenit and 14.5 for Dinamo Makhachkala

Over 20.5 fouls83%
Over 22.5 fouls71%
Over 24.5 fouls57%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.