Saturday 24 October, 10:00
The match has started. The result will appear here once we have it (it can take a few hours).
FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv
- FC Rostov34%
- Draw29%
- Lokomotiv37%
1.13 expected goals for FC Rostov
1.30 expected goals for Lokomotiv
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 37%. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 9.2 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals91%
- Over 1.5 goals70%
- Over 2.5 goals49%
- Over 3.5 goals23%
- Over 4.5 goals10%
- Both teams score52%
- FC Rostov or draw63%
- Draw or Lokomotiv67%
- No draw71%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.2 expected
5.2 for FC Rostov and 4.0 for Lokomotiv
- Over 8.5 corners53%
- Over 9.5 corners43%
- Over 10.5 corners33%
Cards
4.2 expected
1.8 for FC Rostov and 2.3 for Lokomotiv
- Over 3.5 cards60%
- Over 4.5 cards40%
- Over 5.5 cards24%
Shots
24.7 expected
14.7 for FC Rostov and 9.9 for Lokomotiv
- Over 20.5 shots72%
- Over 22.5 shots60%
- Over 24.5 shots48%
Fouls
27.7 expected
14.2 for FC Rostov and 13.4 for Lokomotiv
- Over 20.5 fouls90%
- Over 22.5 fouls81%
- Over 24.5 fouls70%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.