Probably Football

Matches

Premier League (Russia)

Saturday 24 October, 10:00

Final score

Akron3-1Dynamo

The model gave this result 11%. Its most likely result was a Dynamo win (65%).

Akron vs Dynamo

  1. Akron11%
  2. Draw24%
  3. Dynamo65%

0.80 expected goals for Akron

1.98 expected goals for Dynamo

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Dynamo the clear favourite: 65% to win. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 8.9 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals77%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals53%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals30%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals15%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

8.9 expected

5.0 for Akron and 4.0 for Dynamo

  1. Over 8.5 corners51%
  2. Over 9.5 corners40%
  3. Over 10.5 corners31%

Cards

4.8 expected

2.5 for Akron and 2.4 for Dynamo

  1. Over 3.5 cards71%
  2. Over 4.5 cards53%
  3. Over 5.5 cards36%

Shots

22.7 expected

11.1 for Akron and 11.6 for Dynamo

  1. Over 20.5 shots61%
  2. Over 22.5 shots49%
  3. Over 24.5 shots36%

Fouls

27.2 expected

14.7 for Akron and 12.5 for Dynamo

  1. Over 20.5 fouls88%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls79%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls67%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.