Saturday 24 October, 10:00
Final score
Akhmat0-1FC Orenburg
The model gave this result 33%. Its most likely result was a Akhmat win (39%).
Akhmat vs FC Orenburg
- Akhmat39%
- Draw28%
- FC Orenburg33%
1.25 expected goals for Akhmat
1.24 expected goals for FC Orenburg
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 39%. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%. And about 9.5 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals72%It did not happen
- Over 2.5 goals50%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals24%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals11%It did not happen
- Both teams score53%
- Akhmat or draw67%
- Draw or FC Orenburg61%
- No draw72%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.5 expected
5.6 for Akhmat and 3.9 for FC Orenburg
- Over 8.5 corners57%
- Over 9.5 corners47%
- Over 10.5 corners37%
Cards
4.3 expected
2.1 for Akhmat and 2.2 for FC Orenburg
- Over 3.5 cards63%
- Over 4.5 cards43%
- Over 5.5 cards27%
Shots
23.2 expected
12.9 for Akhmat and 10.3 for FC Orenburg
- Over 20.5 shots64%
- Over 22.5 shots52%
- Over 24.5 shots39%
Fouls
30.3 expected
11.7 for Akhmat and 18.6 for FC Orenburg
- Over 20.5 fouls95%
- Over 22.5 fouls90%
- Over 24.5 fouls82%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.