Lokeren-Temse vs KAA Gent II

Lokeren-Temse52%
Draw21%
KAA Gent II27%

2.19 expected goals for Lokeren-Temse

1.41 expected goals for KAA Gent II

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Lokeren-Temse has the edge (52%), but not by much: a draw is at 21% and a KAA Gent II win at 27%. It expects 3.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%. And about 9.1 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
Over 1.5 goals88%It happened
Over 2.5 goals55%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals48%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals29%It did not happen

Both teams score54%
Lokeren-Temse or draw73%
Draw or KAA Gent II48%
No draw78%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.1 expected

5.2 for Lokeren-Temse and 3.9 for KAA Gent II

Over 8.5 corners53%
Over 9.5 corners42%
Over 10.5 corners32%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.9 for Lokeren-Temse and 2.3 for KAA Gent II

Over 3.5 cards59%
Over 4.5 cards40%
Over 5.5 cards24%

Shots

26.0 expected

16.3 for Lokeren-Temse and 9.7 for KAA Gent II

Over 20.5 shots78%
Over 22.5 shots67%
Over 24.5 shots56%

Fouls

32.1 expected

15.9 for Lokeren-Temse and 16.2 for KAA Gent II

Over 20.5 fouls97%
Over 22.5 fouls94%
Over 24.5 fouls89%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.