Probably Football

Matches

Challenger Pro League (Belgium)

Final score

Francs Borains1-0Dender

The model gave this result 21%. Its most likely result was a Dender win (55%).

Francs Borains vs Dender

  1. Francs Borains21%
  2. Draw24%
  3. Dender55%

0.90 expected goals for Francs Borains

1.50 expected goals for Dender

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Dender the clear favourite: 55% to win. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 9.8 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals70%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals56%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals22%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals10%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.8 expected

5.3 for Francs Borains and 4.5 for Dender

  1. Over 8.5 corners60%
  2. Over 9.5 corners50%
  3. Over 10.5 corners40%

Cards

4.7 expected

2.2 for Francs Borains and 2.5 for Dender

  1. Over 3.5 cards69%
  2. Over 4.5 cards50%
  3. Over 5.5 cards33%

Shots

24.7 expected

12.5 for Francs Borains and 12.2 for Dender

  1. Over 20.5 shots72%
  2. Over 22.5 shots60%
  3. Over 24.5 shots48%

Fouls

33.1 expected

16.1 for Francs Borains and 17.0 for Dender

  1. Over 20.5 fouls98%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls96%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls91%

Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is exactly what was published before the match.