Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge

Union St. Gilloise81%
Draw13%
Cercle Brugge6%

3.23 expected goals for Union St. Gilloise

0.71 expected goals for Cercle Brugge

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Union St. Gilloise the clear favourite: 81% to win. It expects 3.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 63% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%. And about 9.6 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
Over 1.5 goals91%It happened
Over 2.5 goals63%It happened
Over 3.5 goals55%It happened
Over 4.5 goals36%It happened

Both teams score53%
Union St. Gilloise or draw94%
Draw or Cercle Brugge19%
No draw87%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.6 expected

5.2 for Union St. Gilloise and 4.4 for Cercle Brugge

Over 8.5 corners58%
Over 9.5 corners47%
Over 10.5 corners37%

Cards

4.0 expected

1.8 for Union St. Gilloise and 2.1 for Cercle Brugge

Over 3.5 cards56%
Over 4.5 cards37%
Over 5.5 cards21%

Shots

28.9 expected

19.9 for Union St. Gilloise and 9.0 for Cercle Brugge

Over 20.5 shots86%
Over 22.5 shots78%
Over 24.5 shots68%

Fouls

23.8 expected

11.1 for Union St. Gilloise and 12.7 for Cercle Brugge

Over 20.5 fouls73%
Over 22.5 fouls58%
Over 24.5 fouls43%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.