Saturday 24 October, 10:00
Final score
Gent4-0Anderlecht
The model gave this result 34%. Its most likely result was a Anderlecht win (36%).
Gent vs Anderlecht
- Gent34%
- Draw30%
- Anderlecht36%
1.01 expected goals for Gent
1.04 expected goals for Anderlecht
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 36%. It expects 2.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 10.0 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals86%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals61%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals44%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals15%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals6%It did not happen
- Both teams score51%
- Gent or draw64%
- Draw or Anderlecht66%
- No draw70%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.0 expected
5.6 for Gent and 4.4 for Anderlecht
- Over 8.5 corners62%
- Over 9.5 corners52%
- Over 10.5 corners42%
Cards
3.8 expected
1.9 for Gent and 2.0 for Anderlecht
- Over 3.5 cards53%
- Over 4.5 cards34%
- Over 5.5 cards19%
Shots
25.3 expected
14.6 for Gent and 10.7 for Anderlecht
- Over 20.5 shots75%
- Over 22.5 shots64%
- Over 24.5 shots52%
Fouls
23.7 expected
11.7 for Gent and 12.0 for Anderlecht
- Over 20.5 fouls72%
- Over 22.5 fouls57%
- Over 24.5 fouls42%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.